The music industry has delivered strong growth over the past five years, benefiting from the adoption of paid streaming. During 2024, three of the major music labels experienced a slowdown in growth, while the leading label’s growth rate accelerated to c20%.ÌýWe note that in the US, the largest overall recorded music market, paid subscriber growth slowed from 7% in H1'23 to 3% in H1'24, while the leading label grew its paid subscriber base by 10% in the same period.

We believe with increased investment by other platforms (marketing, product development, etc.), volume growth could reaccelerate, even in the US.

¶·Å£ÆåÅÆÔÚÏß Evidence Lab surveyed 4,000 adults in the US, France, UK and Italy during H2'24 who have either paid or ad-supported music subscriptions to either one or more DSP.

Key highlights of the survey are:

  • 90% of respondents listen to music weekly while 74% already subscribe to music streaming platforms. We therefore think there is upside to the 42% of US consumers who currently pay for music streaming, although we note that the others could be included in individual or duo plans.
  • Younger demographics are much more likely to stream music. c70% of 18-24 year old respondents already pay for music streaming vs just 19% for those aged 65+. This gives us confidence that paid streaming penetration can meaningfully improve.
  • 9% of current users of free streaming services said they are very likely to upgrade to a pay service in the next 12 months, equivalent to 8% growth in the number of paid subscribers (Survey data). However, only 3% of respondents who do not use any streaming service (free or paid) said they were very likely to pay for a subscription in the next 12 months
  • 81% of non-subscribers pay for at least one subscription video-on-demand service.
  • Across three of the leading streaming platforms, between 30 -40% of users stopped their paid subscription due to dissatisfaction with the app experience, personalisation & poor song recommendations - this presents an opportunity for platforms to capitalise on AI innovations to introduce personalised solutions for customers.

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